关键词: 模糊聚类, 支持向量回归, 预测, 教育数据挖掘

Abstract: Existing performance prediction models tend to overuse different types of attributes, leading to either overly complex prediction methods or models that require manual participation. To improve the accuracy and interpretation of student performance prediction, a method based on fuzzy clustering and support vector regression is proposed. Firstly, fuzzy logic is introduced to calculate the membership matrix, and students are clustered according to their past performance. Then, we use Support Vector Regression (SVR) theory to fit and model performance trajectory for each cluster. Lastly, the final prediction results are adjusted in combination with the students' learning behavior and other related attributes. Experimental results on several baseline datasets demonstrate the validity of the proposed approach.

Key words: fuzzy clustering, support vector regression, prediction, educational data mining