Abstract: The ecological footprint model was applied to analyze the variation of ecological footprint in Shanghai from 1996 to 2005. Based on these, the ecological footprint and land scale were predicted in 2010 and 2020 through the grey forecast model, and land use regulation indeces and optimal arrangement favorable to ecological environment in Shanghai were obtained. These results are helpful to establish general land use planning scientifically in order to implement the regulation of land use sustainability, and to promote the development of economy, population, resource, environment and land use in a harmonious way.

Key words: land use planning, sustainability regulation, grey forecast method, ecological footprint, land use planning, sustainability regulation, grey forecast method